Traders assign full implied probability to a 37°C high in Taipei on July 31 because current observations and Central Weather Administration monitoring show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under typical midsummer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Taipei basin have supported daytime maxima near or at record levels for the season, consistent with July climatology where averages reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from regional models align closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation by resolution time. A sudden influx of convective showers, thicker cloud cover, or a late-day sea breeze could still cap readings below 37°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 31 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Taipei le 31 juillet ?
37°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$82,846 Vol.
$82,846 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Oui
38°C ou plus
Non
37°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$82,846 Vol.
$82,846 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
$2,710 Vol.
Non
29°C
$3,272 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,349 Vol.
Non
31°C
$5,413 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,436 Vol.
Non
33°C
$4,737 Vol.
Non
34°C
$6,815 Vol.
Non
35°C
$8,341 Vol.
Non
36°C
$14,192 Vol.
Non
37°C
$18,634 Vol.
Oui
38°C ou plus
$12,947 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign full implied probability to a 37°C high in Taipei on July 31 because current observations and Central Weather Administration monitoring show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under typical midsummer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Taipei basin have supported daytime maxima near or at record levels for the season, consistent with July climatology where averages reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from regional models align closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation by resolution time. A sudden influx of convective showers, thicker cloud cover, or a late-day sea breeze could still cap readings below 37°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$82,846Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign full implied probability to a 37°C high in Taipei on July 31 because current observations and Central Weather Administration monitoring show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under typical midsummer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Taipei basin have supported daytime maxima near or at record levels for the season, consistent with July climatology where averages reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from regional models align closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation by resolution time. A sudden influx of convective showers, thicker cloud cover, or a late-day sea breeze could still cap readings below 37°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,846Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders assign full implied probability to a 37°C high in Taipei on July 31 because current observations and Central Weather Administration monitoring show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under typical midsummer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Taipei basin have supported daytime maxima near or at record levels for the season, consistent with July climatology where averages reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from regional models align closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation by resolution time. A sudden influx of convective showers, thicker cloud cover, or a late-day sea breeze could still cap readings below 37°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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