Recent National Weather Service and Canadian model guidance points to a moderating influence from Lake Ontario and a weak frontal passage keeping Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 22–24 °C. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF remain tight, with most members clustering in this narrow range because daytime mixing and cloud cover limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 25 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a slightly stronger trough axis and higher dew points that suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing separate the 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes, both of which carry the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 2 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 2 août ?
24°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
22%
24°C
36%
25°C
14%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
20°C or below
$178 Vol.
1%
21°C
$187 Vol.
3%
22°C
$651 Vol.
29%
23°C
$267 Vol.
22%
24°C
$898 Vol.
36%
25°C
$276 Vol.
14%
26°C
$184 Vol.
2%
27°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and Canadian model guidance points to a moderating influence from Lake Ontario and a weak frontal passage keeping Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 22–24 °C. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF remain tight, with most members clustering in this narrow range because daytime mixing and cloud cover limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 25 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a slightly stronger trough axis and higher dew points that suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing separate the 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes, both of which carry the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,147Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and Canadian model guidance points to a moderating influence from Lake Ontario and a weak frontal passage keeping Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 22–24 °C. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF remain tight, with most members clustering in this narrow range because daytime mixing and cloud cover limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 25 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a slightly stronger trough axis and higher dew points that suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing separate the 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes, both of which carry the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,147Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and Canadian model guidance points to a moderating influence from Lake Ontario and a weak frontal passage keeping Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 22–24 °C. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF remain tight, with most members clustering in this narrow range because daytime mixing and cloud cover limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 25 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a slightly stronger trough axis and higher dew points that suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing separate the 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes, both of which carry the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes