Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché.Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 3?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$69,573 Vol.
$69,573 Vol.
3 juin 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$69,573 Vol.
$69,573 Vol.
3 juin 2026
15°C or below
$821 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,669 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,014 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,549 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,782 Vol.
No
20°C
$15,371 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$15,366 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,188 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,574 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,334 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$1,904 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$69,573Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,573Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models place Amsterdam's June 3 high near 20°C, reflecting typical early-summer North Sea air masses and modest Atlantic influence that keep daily maxima clustered between 18–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, though variable cloud cover and possible light showers introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Historical climatology supports this range, with June averages around 19°C and low interannual variability this early in the season. Trader consensus aligns with these near-term model runs, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 19–21°C outcomes while discounting extremes given the narrow forecast window and absence of unusual synoptic drivers. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché.
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