Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
20°C 24%
21°C 22%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
19%
20°C
28%
21°C
22%
22°C
16%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 24%
21°C 22%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
15°C or below
$377 Vol.
2%
16°C
$410 Vol.
2%
17°C
$139 Vol.
6%
18°C
$23 Vol.
10%
19°C
$27 Vol.
19%
20°C
$169 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$145 Vol.
16%
23°C
$129 Vol.
7%
24°C
$310 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$308 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,996Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,996Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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