The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 20 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 20 juillet ?
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65 °F <1%
66-67 °F <1%
$89,686 Vol.
$89,686 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
63°F ou moins
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
Oui
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82 °F ou plus
Non
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65 °F <1%
66-67 °F <1%
$89,686 Vol.
$89,686 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
63°F ou moins
$5,084 Vol.
Non
64-65 °F
$7,833 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$12,492 Vol.
Non
68-69°F
$13,922 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$15,218 Vol.
Oui
72-73°F
$15,770 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$6,258 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$4,037 Vol.
Non
78-79 °F
$7,053 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$320 Vol.
Non
82 °F ou plus
$1,698 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,686Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,686Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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