Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooler air mass arriving over Paris by August 22, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 22–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This cooling follows an earlier August warm spell, shifting trader consensus toward the 23 °C outcome (49 % implied probability) as the modal resolution. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow limited upside to 24 °C or brief downside to 22 °C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C further anchor expectations, with no heat-wave signals in current model guidance. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten around these central values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 22 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 22 août ?
23°C 54%
24°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
54%
24°C
26%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
19°C or below
$222 Vol.
1%
20°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$225 Vol.
3%
22°C
$528 Vol.
16%
23°C
$792 Vol.
54%
24°C
$474 Vol.
26%
25°C
$797 Vol.
7%
26°C
$793 Vol.
1%
27°C
$281 Vol.
1%
28°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooler air mass arriving over Paris by August 22, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 22–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This cooling follows an earlier August warm spell, shifting trader consensus toward the 23 °C outcome (49 % implied probability) as the modal resolution. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow limited upside to 24 °C or brief downside to 22 °C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C further anchor expectations, with no heat-wave signals in current model guidance. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten around these central values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,840Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooler air mass arriving over Paris by August 22, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 22–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This cooling follows an earlier August warm spell, shifting trader consensus toward the 23 °C outcome (49 % implied probability) as the modal resolution. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow limited upside to 24 °C or brief downside to 22 °C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C further anchor expectations, with no heat-wave signals in current model guidance. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten around these central values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,840Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooler air mass arriving over Paris by August 22, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 22–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This cooling follows an earlier August warm spell, shifting trader consensus toward the 23 °C outcome (49 % implied probability) as the modal resolution. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow limited upside to 24 °C or brief downside to 22 °C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers. Historical late-August averages near 23–25 °C further anchor expectations, with no heat-wave signals in current model guidance. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten around these central values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes