Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 22 août ?
11°C 44%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
9°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C or below
31%
7°C
33%
8°C
33%
9°C
38%
10°C
30%
11°C
44%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
35%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
31%
11°C 44%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
9°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C or below
$58 Vol.
31%
7°C
$15 Vol.
33%
8°C
$10 Vol.
33%
9°C
$10 Vol.
38%
10°C
$11 Vol.
30%
11°C
$11 Vol.
44%
12°C
$20 Vol.
39%
13°C
$10 Vol.
39%
14°C
$10 Vol.
35%
15°C
$10 Vol.
5%
16°C or higher
$15 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$180Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$180Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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