Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daytime high of 31–32 °C on August 20 under partly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the near-even 30.5 % market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, an average high near 32 °C, and frequent convective rain that can suppress peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. The seasonal outlook through October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while model disagreement on exact rainfall coverage and cloud cover creates the observed spread into 33 °C (17 %) and lower bins. Updated Observatory guidance and the next model runs within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
32°C 31%
31°C 31%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
31%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 31%
31°C 31%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$207 Vol.
1%
29°C
$43 Vol.
10%
30°C
$37 Vol.
16%
31°C
$105 Vol.
31%
32°C
$48 Vol.
31%
33°C
$74 Vol.
17%
34°C
$45 Vol.
5%
35°C
$24 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daytime high of 31–32 °C on August 20 under partly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the near-even 30.5 % market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, an average high near 32 °C, and frequent convective rain that can suppress peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. The seasonal outlook through October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while model disagreement on exact rainfall coverage and cloud cover creates the observed spread into 33 °C (17 %) and lower bins. Updated Observatory guidance and the next model runs within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$750Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daytime high of 31–32 °C on August 20 under partly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the near-even 30.5 % market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, an average high near 32 °C, and frequent convective rain that can suppress peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. The seasonal outlook through October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while model disagreement on exact rainfall coverage and cloud cover creates the observed spread into 33 °C (17 %) and lower bins. Updated Observatory guidance and the next model runs within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$750Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daytime high of 31–32 °C on August 20 under partly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the near-even 30.5 % market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, an average high near 32 °C, and frequent convective rain that can suppress peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. The seasonal outlook through October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while model disagreement on exact rainfall coverage and cloud cover creates the observed spread into 33 °C (17 %) and lower bins. Updated Observatory guidance and the next model runs within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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