**Short-term forecasts position 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 18.** Updated model guidance from sources such as timeanddate shows a projected high of 91°F (roughly 33°C) under overcast skies with thundershowers, which could cap peak readings through reduced solar heating. Mid-August climatology for the region centers on daily highs near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with the August 11 high resolving at 29°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus and potential for heavier rain introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the 30–32°C range while lower-probability tails reflect risks of stronger cooling or brief intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 18 août ?
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
26°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18 Vol.
1%
28°C
$115 Vol.
2%
29°C
$13 Vol.
10%
30°C
$70 Vol.
22%
31°C
$77 Vol.
39%
32°C
$26 Vol.
23%
33°C
$45 Vol.
6%
34°C
$9 Vol.
3%
35°C
$12 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts position 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 18.** Updated model guidance from sources such as timeanddate shows a projected high of 91°F (roughly 33°C) under overcast skies with thundershowers, which could cap peak readings through reduced solar heating. Mid-August climatology for the region centers on daily highs near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with the August 11 high resolving at 29°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus and potential for heavier rain introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the 30–32°C range while lower-probability tails reflect risks of stronger cooling or brief intensification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$545Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts position 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 18.** Updated model guidance from sources such as timeanddate shows a projected high of 91°F (roughly 33°C) under overcast skies with thundershowers, which could cap peak readings through reduced solar heating. Mid-August climatology for the region centers on daily highs near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with the August 11 high resolving at 29°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus and potential for heavier rain introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the 30–32°C range while lower-probability tails reflect risks of stronger cooling or brief intensification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$545Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts position 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 18.** Updated model guidance from sources such as timeanddate shows a projected high of 91°F (roughly 33°C) under overcast skies with thundershowers, which could cap peak readings through reduced solar heating. Mid-August climatology for the region centers on daily highs near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with the August 11 high resolving at 29°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus and potential for heavier rain introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the 30–32°C range while lower-probability tails reflect risks of stronger cooling or brief intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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