Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s August 16 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with models showing 32–34 °C as the most probable range and modest chances of reaching 35 °C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, while scattered monsoon showers or increased cloud cover can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3 °C. Current ensemble guidance indicates no strong synoptic driver for extreme heat, keeping 35 °C-plus odds limited, and traders are weighting the tight clustering of 32–34 °C outcomes accordingly ahead of updated model runs and official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 16 août ?
33°C 28%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
35°C or higher 17.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
19%
33°C
28%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
18%
33°C 28%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
35°C or higher 17.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$604 Vol.
1%
29°C
$328 Vol.
2%
30°C
$295 Vol.
5%
31°C
$388 Vol.
11%
32°C
$221 Vol.
19%
33°C
$126 Vol.
28%
34°C
$167 Vol.
22%
35°C or higher
$681 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s August 16 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with models showing 32–34 °C as the most probable range and modest chances of reaching 35 °C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, while scattered monsoon showers or increased cloud cover can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3 °C. Current ensemble guidance indicates no strong synoptic driver for extreme heat, keeping 35 °C-plus odds limited, and traders are weighting the tight clustering of 32–34 °C outcomes accordingly ahead of updated model runs and official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,903Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s August 16 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with models showing 32–34 °C as the most probable range and modest chances of reaching 35 °C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, while scattered monsoon showers or increased cloud cover can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3 °C. Current ensemble guidance indicates no strong synoptic driver for extreme heat, keeping 35 °C-plus odds limited, and traders are weighting the tight clustering of 32–34 °C outcomes accordingly ahead of updated model runs and official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,903Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s August 16 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with models showing 32–34 °C as the most probable range and modest chances of reaching 35 °C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, while scattered monsoon showers or increased cloud cover can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3 °C. Current ensemble guidance indicates no strong synoptic driver for extreme heat, keeping 35 °C-plus odds limited, and traders are weighting the tight clustering of 32–34 °C outcomes accordingly ahead of updated model runs and official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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