Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Paris on August 16, 2026, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs near 38°C. This shift stems from northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models show consensus around 17–19°C lows, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C or below as leading outcomes. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, so current conditions represent a typical late-summer pattern rather than an anomaly. Traders appear to be pricing in slight upside uncertainty from any lingering warmth or model spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Paris stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 16 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 16 août ?
19°C 46%
18°C ou moins 34%
20°C 16%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
18°C ou moins
34%
19°C
46%
20°C
16%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 46%
18°C ou moins 34%
20°C 16%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$1,654 Vol.
34%
19°C
$843 Vol.
46%
20°C
$149 Vol.
16%
21°C
$557 Vol.
8%
22°C
$46 Vol.
1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Paris on August 16, 2026, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs near 38°C. This shift stems from northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models show consensus around 17–19°C lows, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C or below as leading outcomes. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, so current conditions represent a typical late-summer pattern rather than an anomaly. Traders appear to be pricing in slight upside uncertainty from any lingering warmth or model spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Paris stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,466Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Paris on August 16, 2026, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs near 38°C. This shift stems from northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models show consensus around 17–19°C lows, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C or below as leading outcomes. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, so current conditions represent a typical late-summer pattern rather than an anomaly. Traders appear to be pricing in slight upside uncertainty from any lingering warmth or model spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Paris stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,466Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Paris on August 16, 2026, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs near 38°C. This shift stems from northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models show consensus around 17–19°C lows, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C or below as leading outcomes. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, so current conditions represent a typical late-summer pattern rather than an anomaly. Traders appear to be pricing in slight upside uncertainty from any lingering warmth or model spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Paris stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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