Recent model consensus from major weather agencies points to a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C in Paris on August 16, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light northerly flow supporting modest daytime warming under a ridge of high pressure. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture have stabilized over the past 48 hours, keeping the probability tightly split between the two leading outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and slight variations in forecast low-level wind speed are the main factors that could nudge readings across the 29–30 °C threshold, while longer-range guidance shows little risk of either stronger subsidence or increased cloudiness that would shift the outcome toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France expected within the next 24 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 16 août ?
30°C 44%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
31%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$169 Vol.
1%
27°C
$106 Vol.
2%
28°C
$366 Vol.
7%
29°C
$432 Vol.
31%
30°C
$446 Vol.
44%
31°C
$288 Vol.
17%
32°C
$202 Vol.
2%
33°C
$136 Vol.
1%
34°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major weather agencies points to a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C in Paris on August 16, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light northerly flow supporting modest daytime warming under a ridge of high pressure. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture have stabilized over the past 48 hours, keeping the probability tightly split between the two leading outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and slight variations in forecast low-level wind speed are the main factors that could nudge readings across the 29–30 °C threshold, while longer-range guidance shows little risk of either stronger subsidence or increased cloudiness that would shift the outcome toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France expected within the next 24 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,459Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major weather agencies points to a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C in Paris on August 16, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light northerly flow supporting modest daytime warming under a ridge of high pressure. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture have stabilized over the past 48 hours, keeping the probability tightly split between the two leading outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and slight variations in forecast low-level wind speed are the main factors that could nudge readings across the 29–30 °C threshold, while longer-range guidance shows little risk of either stronger subsidence or increased cloudiness that would shift the outcome toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France expected within the next 24 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,459Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major weather agencies points to a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C in Paris on August 16, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light northerly flow supporting modest daytime warming under a ridge of high pressure. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture have stabilized over the past 48 hours, keeping the probability tightly split between the two leading outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and slight variations in forecast low-level wind speed are the main factors that could nudge readings across the 29–30 °C threshold, while longer-range guidance shows little risk of either stronger subsidence or increased cloudiness that would shift the outcome toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France expected within the next 24 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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