Current forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila's August 16 high will likely fall in the 29–33°C range amid the southwest monsoon, which brings frequent cloud cover and rainfall that typically caps daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet daily outcomes vary with convective activity, humidity levels above 80%, and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because short-term model runs show modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, which directly influence peak readings at official stations; updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 16 août ?
29°C 34%
30°C 30%
26°C 16%
31°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
8%
28°C
14%
29°C
28%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C ou plus
2%
29°C 34%
30°C 30%
26°C 16%
31°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$18 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$49 Vol.
16%
27°C
$27 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$7 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$10 Vol.
5%
34°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila's August 16 high will likely fall in the 29–33°C range amid the southwest monsoon, which brings frequent cloud cover and rainfall that typically caps daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet daily outcomes vary with convective activity, humidity levels above 80%, and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because short-term model runs show modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, which directly influence peak readings at official stations; updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$120Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila's August 16 high will likely fall in the 29–33°C range amid the southwest monsoon, which brings frequent cloud cover and rainfall that typically caps daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet daily outcomes vary with convective activity, humidity levels above 80%, and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because short-term model runs show modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, which directly influence peak readings at official stations; updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila's August 16 high will likely fall in the 29–33°C range amid the southwest monsoon, which brings frequent cloud cover and rainfall that typically caps daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet daily outcomes vary with convective activity, humidity levels above 80%, and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because short-term model runs show modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, which directly influence peak readings at official stations; updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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