Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Shanghai on August 14, moderating maximum temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C. These conditions contrast with typical mid-August subtropical patterns, where clear skies often allow highs near 32°C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential, with any breaks in clouds unlikely to push readings substantially higher given the timing of precipitation. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or intensity shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 14 août ?
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C 10%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
43%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C 10%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
24°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$184 Vol.
1%
26°C
$170 Vol.
1%
27°C
$228 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,407 Vol.
31%
29°C
$2,054 Vol.
43%
30°C
$1,029 Vol.
10%
31°C
$479 Vol.
4%
32°C
$64 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Shanghai on August 14, moderating maximum temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C. These conditions contrast with typical mid-August subtropical patterns, where clear skies often allow highs near 32°C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential, with any breaks in clouds unlikely to push readings substantially higher given the timing of precipitation. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or intensity shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,359Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Shanghai on August 14, moderating maximum temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C. These conditions contrast with typical mid-August subtropical patterns, where clear skies often allow highs near 32°C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential, with any breaks in clouds unlikely to push readings substantially higher given the timing of precipitation. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or intensity shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,359Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Shanghai on August 14, moderating maximum temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C. These conditions contrast with typical mid-August subtropical patterns, where clear skies often allow highs near 32°C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential, with any breaks in clouds unlikely to push readings substantially higher given the timing of precipitation. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or intensity shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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