Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Shanghai's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Overcast skies reduce surface insolation while humidity and light winds limit diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects adding only modest uplift in the city core. Differences among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer moisture in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs; drier breaks could push peaks higher while heavier convection would suppress them. Short-range model spread remains typical for this subtropical summer regime, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 13 août ?
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
38%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
24°C or below
$102 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$146 Vol.
1%
27°C
$264 Vol.
3%
28°C
$947 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,669 Vol.
32%
30°C
$555 Vol.
38%
31°C
$789 Vol.
17%
32°C
$185 Vol.
2%
33°C
$116 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$128 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Shanghai's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Overcast skies reduce surface insolation while humidity and light winds limit diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects adding only modest uplift in the city core. Differences among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer moisture in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs; drier breaks could push peaks higher while heavier convection would suppress them. Short-range model spread remains typical for this subtropical summer regime, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,003Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Shanghai's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Overcast skies reduce surface insolation while humidity and light winds limit diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects adding only modest uplift in the city core. Differences among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer moisture in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs; drier breaks could push peaks higher while heavier convection would suppress them. Short-range model spread remains typical for this subtropical summer regime, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,003Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Shanghai's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Overcast skies reduce surface insolation while humidity and light winds limit diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects adding only modest uplift in the city core. Differences among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer moisture in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs; drier breaks could push peaks higher while heavier convection would suppress them. Short-range model spread remains typical for this subtropical summer regime, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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