**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.** Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 13 août ?
34°C 34%
35°C 32%
36°C 13%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
32%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 32%
36°C 13%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$259 Vol.
9%
34°C
$45 Vol.
34%
35°C
$112 Vol.
32%
36°C
$63 Vol.
13%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C
$17 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.**
Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$514Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.**
Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$514Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.** Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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