Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 13 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 13 août ?
26°C 57%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
57%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 57%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$151 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Vol.
5%
25°C
$324 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,056 Vol.
57%
27°C
$539 Vol.
26%
28°C
$386 Vol.
5%
29°C
$242 Vol.
1%
30°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,809Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,809Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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