Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
26°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$367 Vol.
1%
29°C
$678 Vol.
6%
30°C
$393 Vol.
16%
31°C
$776 Vol.
38%
32°C
$308 Vol.
32%
33°C
$190 Vol.
8%
34°C
$227 Vol.
2%
35°C
$202 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,956Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,956Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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