Short-range forecasts from global and regional models position 36°C as the most probable high for Chongqing on August 12, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability and the 25.5% for 37°C. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate features August average highs near 34–35°C, sustained by high humidity, weak steering flows, and frequent heat domes, though recent July alerts and a first 40°C day this season underscore variability. Model consensus emphasizes limited intensification potential over the next 48 hours, with official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine land-surface and moisture inputs before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical extremes exceeding 40°C in similar patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 12 août ?
36°C 43%
37°C 26%
35°C 18%
38°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
18%
36°C
43%
37°C
26%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 26%
35°C 18%
38°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
31°C or below
$518 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$107 Vol.
1%
33°C
$221 Vol.
2%
34°C
$397 Vol.
6%
35°C
$276 Vol.
18%
36°C
$1,220 Vol.
43%
37°C
$476 Vol.
26%
38°C
$315 Vol.
9%
39°C
$298 Vol.
3%
40°C
$161 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from global and regional models position 36°C as the most probable high for Chongqing on August 12, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability and the 25.5% for 37°C. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate features August average highs near 34–35°C, sustained by high humidity, weak steering flows, and frequent heat domes, though recent July alerts and a first 40°C day this season underscore variability. Model consensus emphasizes limited intensification potential over the next 48 hours, with official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine land-surface and moisture inputs before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical extremes exceeding 40°C in similar patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,585Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from global and regional models position 36°C as the most probable high for Chongqing on August 12, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability and the 25.5% for 37°C. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate features August average highs near 34–35°C, sustained by high humidity, weak steering flows, and frequent heat domes, though recent July alerts and a first 40°C day this season underscore variability. Model consensus emphasizes limited intensification potential over the next 48 hours, with official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine land-surface and moisture inputs before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical extremes exceeding 40°C in similar patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,585Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from global and regional models position 36°C as the most probable high for Chongqing on August 12, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability and the 25.5% for 37°C. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate features August average highs near 34–35°C, sustained by high humidity, weak steering flows, and frequent heat domes, though recent July alerts and a first 40°C day this season underscore variability. Model consensus emphasizes limited intensification potential over the next 48 hours, with official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine land-surface and moisture inputs before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical extremes exceeding 40°C in similar patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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