Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 12 août ?
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 18%
24°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
18%
22°C
27%
23°C
29%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
2%
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 18%
24°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$12 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2 Vol.
1%
18°C
$12 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2 Vol.
3%
20°C
$20 Vol.
7%
21°C
$12 Vol.
18%
22°C
$4 Vol.
27%
23°C
$110 Vol.
29%
24°C
$74 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$49 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$297Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$297Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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