Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 19–20 °C in Helsinki on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 42.5 % and 30.5 % implied probabilities. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 20 °C, and current guidance points to stable high pressure with limited cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow that should prevent significant warming or cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position could still produce an 18 °C or 21 °C outcome. Fresh runs expected later today and tomorrow will refine the temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 12 août ?
19°C 43%
20°C 35%
18°C 13%
16°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
43%
20°C
35%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 35%
18°C 13%
16°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$12 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12 Vol.
1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$32 Vol.
13%
19°C
$67 Vol.
43%
20°C
$15 Vol.
35%
21°C
$11 Vol.
6%
22°C
$12 Vol.
5%
23°C
$12 Vol.
1%
24°C ou plus
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 19–20 °C in Helsinki on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 42.5 % and 30.5 % implied probabilities. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 20 °C, and current guidance points to stable high pressure with limited cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow that should prevent significant warming or cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position could still produce an 18 °C or 21 °C outcome. Fresh runs expected later today and tomorrow will refine the temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$195Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 19–20 °C in Helsinki on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 42.5 % and 30.5 % implied probabilities. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 20 °C, and current guidance points to stable high pressure with limited cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow that should prevent significant warming or cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position could still produce an 18 °C or 21 °C outcome. Fresh runs expected later today and tomorrow will refine the temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 19–20 °C in Helsinki on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 42.5 % and 30.5 % implied probabilities. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 20 °C, and current guidance points to stable high pressure with limited cloud cover and modest southwesterly flow that should prevent significant warming or cooling. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position could still produce an 18 °C or 21 °C outcome. Fresh runs expected later today and tomorrow will refine the temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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