Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's highest temperature on August 10 centers on 34–35 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a transition from subsidence-driven heat associated with the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin toward increased cloud cover and isolated showers that moderate peak values. Regional model consensus shows urban-station maxima most likely in the mid-30s under typical August humidity and light winds, with slight variations arising from exact timing of any convective activity and localized urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, yet the narrow spread between 34 °C and 35 °C market shares underscores genuine forecast uncertainty around whether daytime heating will reach or briefly exceed the higher threshold before any cooling seabreeze or precipitation develops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ?
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
$25,437 Vol.
$25,437 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
37%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
$25,437 Vol.
$25,437 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
37%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's highest temperature on August 10 centers on 34–35 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a transition from subsidence-driven heat associated with the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin toward increased cloud cover and isolated showers that moderate peak values. Regional model consensus shows urban-station maxima most likely in the mid-30s under typical August humidity and light winds, with slight variations arising from exact timing of any convective activity and localized urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, yet the narrow spread between 34 °C and 35 °C market shares underscores genuine forecast uncertainty around whether daytime heating will reach or briefly exceed the higher threshold before any cooling seabreeze or precipitation develops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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