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icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ?

34°C 37%

35°C 37%

36°C 14%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$25,437 Vol.

34°C 37%

35°C 37%

36°C 14%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$25,437 Vol.

29°C or below

$764 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,159 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$1,424 Vol.

1%

32°C

$1,574 Vol.

1%

33°C

$1,644 Vol.

8%

34°C

$2,349 Vol.

37%

35°C

$2,583 Vol.

37%

36°C

$1,862 Vol.

14%

37°C

$5,146 Vol.

4%

38°C

$5,665 Vol.

2%

39°C or higher

$1,268 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's highest temperature on August 10 centers on 34–35 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a transition from subsidence-driven heat associated with the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin toward increased cloud cover and isolated showers that moderate peak values. Regional model consensus shows urban-station maxima most likely in the mid-30s under typical August humidity and light winds, with slight variations arising from exact timing of any convective activity and localized urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, yet the narrow spread between 34 °C and 35 °C market shares underscores genuine forecast uncertainty around whether daytime heating will reach or briefly exceed the higher threshold before any cooling seabreeze or precipitation develops.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,437
Date de fin
10 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's highest temperature on August 10 centers on 34–35 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a transition from subsidence-driven heat associated with the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin toward increased cloud cover and isolated showers that moderate peak values. Regional model consensus shows urban-station maxima most likely in the mid-30s under typical August humidity and light winds, with slight variations arising from exact timing of any convective activity and localized urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, yet the narrow spread between 34 °C and 35 °C market shares underscores genuine forecast uncertainty around whether daytime heating will reach or briefly exceed the higher threshold before any cooling seabreeze or precipitation develops.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,437
Date de fin
10 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 34°C » à 37%, suivi de « 35°C » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ? » a généré $25.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 8, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ? » est « 34°C » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 35°C » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.