**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 août ?
35°C 43%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$24,311 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,311 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
43%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$24,311 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,311 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,277 Vol.
1%
33°C
$3,651 Vol.
4%
34°C
$2,423 Vol.
25%
35°C
$3,293 Vol.
43%
36°C
$2,949 Vol.
21%
37°C
$3,963 Vol.
8%
38°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
39°C
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.**
Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability.
Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,311Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.**
Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability.
Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,311Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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