Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies position Madrid's August 7 peak near 37–39°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly advection of warmer air masses amid the 2026 European heatwave. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling and daytime insolation boosting surface temperatures, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated anomaly. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome aligns with the latest deterministic runs and minimal spread in short-range guidance, though minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture could adjust the exact maximum before resolution. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 7 août ?
38°C 47%
39°C 30%
37°C 14%
40°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
14%
38°C
47%
39°C
30%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 47%
39°C 30%
37°C 14%
40°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
35°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
36°C
$37 Vol.
3%
37°C
$420 Vol.
14%
38°C
$320 Vol.
47%
39°C
$187 Vol.
30%
40°C
$111 Vol.
9%
41°C
$136 Vol.
2%
42°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies position Madrid's August 7 peak near 37–39°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly advection of warmer air masses amid the 2026 European heatwave. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling and daytime insolation boosting surface temperatures, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated anomaly. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome aligns with the latest deterministic runs and minimal spread in short-range guidance, though minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture could adjust the exact maximum before resolution. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,750Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies position Madrid's August 7 peak near 37–39°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly advection of warmer air masses amid the 2026 European heatwave. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling and daytime insolation boosting surface temperatures, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated anomaly. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome aligns with the latest deterministic runs and minimal spread in short-range guidance, though minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture could adjust the exact maximum before resolution. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,750Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies position Madrid's August 7 peak near 37–39°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly advection of warmer air masses amid the 2026 European heatwave. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling and daytime insolation boosting surface temperatures, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated anomaly. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome aligns with the latest deterministic runs and minimal spread in short-range guidance, though minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture could adjust the exact maximum before resolution. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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