Recent ensemble forecasts from models like those used by AccuWeather and regional agencies point to Guangzhou's August 7 daily maximum centering on 36–38°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and urban heat retention amid typical summer humidity levels near 70–80%. Minor differences among leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in afternoon convective timing or coastal influences that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide baseline context, while short-term updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities through refined observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 7 août ?
37°C 31%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 10%
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
31%
38°C
22%
39°C
6%
40°C ou plus
2%
37°C 31%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 10%
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
31%
38°C
22%
39°C
6%
40°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like those used by AccuWeather and regional agencies point to Guangzhou's August 7 daily maximum centering on 36–38°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and urban heat retention amid typical summer humidity levels near 70–80%. Minor differences among leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in afternoon convective timing or coastal influences that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide baseline context, while short-term updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities through refined observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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