Forecast uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C dominates trader positioning for Guangzhou’s August 6 maximum temperature, as short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration show ensemble spreads centered on these values amid typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention in the Pearl River Delta keep daytime highs near seasonal norms of 34–36°C, while any strengthening of southerly flow or brief cloud cover could cap readings at 36°C; conversely, clearer skies and continued subsidence would favor 37°C. Official verification relies on the local surface station’s daily maximum, with traders monitoring the final model guidance and observed trends through the evening of August 5 for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 6 août ?
37°C 40%
36°C 37%
35°C 14%
38°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$23,484 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,484 Vol.
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
14%
36°C
37%
37°C
40%
38°C
9%
39°C ou plus
1%
37°C 40%
36°C 37%
35°C 14%
38°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$23,484 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,484 Vol.
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
$395 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$682 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,055 Vol.
14%
36°C
$10,391 Vol.
37%
37°C
$5,067 Vol.
40%
38°C
$2,148 Vol.
9%
39°C ou plus
$1,592 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C dominates trader positioning for Guangzhou’s August 6 maximum temperature, as short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration show ensemble spreads centered on these values amid typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention in the Pearl River Delta keep daytime highs near seasonal norms of 34–36°C, while any strengthening of southerly flow or brief cloud cover could cap readings at 36°C; conversely, clearer skies and continued subsidence would favor 37°C. Official verification relies on the local surface station’s daily maximum, with traders monitoring the final model guidance and observed trends through the evening of August 5 for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,484Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C dominates trader positioning for Guangzhou’s August 6 maximum temperature, as short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration show ensemble spreads centered on these values amid typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention in the Pearl River Delta keep daytime highs near seasonal norms of 34–36°C, while any strengthening of southerly flow or brief cloud cover could cap readings at 36°C; conversely, clearer skies and continued subsidence would favor 37°C. Official verification relies on the local surface station’s daily maximum, with traders monitoring the final model guidance and observed trends through the evening of August 5 for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,484Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C dominates trader positioning for Guangzhou’s August 6 maximum temperature, as short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration show ensemble spreads centered on these values amid typical subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention in the Pearl River Delta keep daytime highs near seasonal norms of 34–36°C, while any strengthening of southerly flow or brief cloud cover could cap readings at 36°C; conversely, clearer skies and continued subsidence would favor 37°C. Official verification relies on the local surface station’s daily maximum, with traders monitoring the final model guidance and observed trends through the evening of August 5 for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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