Recent model consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF points to a ridge of high pressure building over southern England by August 5, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid above-average seasonal conditions driven by the ongoing El Niño influence and a warmer-than-normal summer. Key differentiators among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes include subtle variations in southerly flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any scattered cloud that could cap peak readings, with ensemble spreads highlighting roughly 1–2°C uncertainty in the exact high. Official short-range guidance emphasizes these factors over historical August averages near 22°C, while traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of potential updates from the Met Office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 5 août ?
25°C 36%
26°C 32%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
32%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 32%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$210 Vol.
1%
22°C
$24 Vol.
2%
23°C
$80 Vol.
5%
24°C
$52 Vol.
19%
25°C
$166 Vol.
36%
26°C
$123 Vol.
32%
27°C
$93 Vol.
11%
28°C
$91 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C ou plus
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF points to a ridge of high pressure building over southern England by August 5, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid above-average seasonal conditions driven by the ongoing El Niño influence and a warmer-than-normal summer. Key differentiators among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes include subtle variations in southerly flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any scattered cloud that could cap peak readings, with ensemble spreads highlighting roughly 1–2°C uncertainty in the exact high. Official short-range guidance emphasizes these factors over historical August averages near 22°C, while traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of potential updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,308Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF points to a ridge of high pressure building over southern England by August 5, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid above-average seasonal conditions driven by the ongoing El Niño influence and a warmer-than-normal summer. Key differentiators among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes include subtle variations in southerly flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any scattered cloud that could cap peak readings, with ensemble spreads highlighting roughly 1–2°C uncertainty in the exact high. Official short-range guidance emphasizes these factors over historical August averages near 22°C, while traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of potential updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,308Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF points to a ridge of high pressure building over southern England by August 5, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid above-average seasonal conditions driven by the ongoing El Niño influence and a warmer-than-normal summer. Key differentiators among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes include subtle variations in southerly flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any scattered cloud that could cap peak readings, with ensemble spreads highlighting roughly 1–2°C uncertainty in the exact high. Official short-range guidance emphasizes these factors over historical August averages near 22°C, while traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of potential updates from the Met Office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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