Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 4 août ?
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
25°C or below
$86 Vol.
1%
26°C
$66 Vol.
4%
27°C
$110 Vol.
19%
28°C
$104 Vol.
30%
29°C
$564 Vol.
41%
30°C
$25 Vol.
9%
31°C
$25 Vol.
4%
32°C
$32 Vol.
1%
33°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,141Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,141Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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