Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 25–26°C for August 4 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with scattered showers and high humidity. These values align with climatological averages for early August, when persistent cloud cover and light winds limit radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context but have limited influence on the two-day horizon. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25°C because current model consensus shows little deviation from these baselines, with only modest uncertainty from potential convective timing or localized urban effects that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 août ?
25°C 61%
26°C 25%
24°C 14%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
61%
26°C
25%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 61%
26°C 25%
24°C 14%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$42 Vol.
1%
22°C
$42 Vol.
1%
23°C
$174 Vol.
3%
24°C
$216 Vol.
14%
25°C
$1,169 Vol.
61%
26°C
$192 Vol.
25%
27°C
$174 Vol.
4%
28°C
$184 Vol.
5%
29°C
$206 Vol.
1%
30°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 25–26°C for August 4 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with scattered showers and high humidity. These values align with climatological averages for early August, when persistent cloud cover and light winds limit radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context but have limited influence on the two-day horizon. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25°C because current model consensus shows little deviation from these baselines, with only modest uncertainty from potential convective timing or localized urban effects that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,745Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 25–26°C for August 4 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with scattered showers and high humidity. These values align with climatological averages for early August, when persistent cloud cover and light winds limit radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context but have limited influence on the two-day horizon. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25°C because current model consensus shows little deviation from these baselines, with only modest uncertainty from potential convective timing or localized urban effects that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,745Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 25–26°C for August 4 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with scattered showers and high humidity. These values align with climatological averages for early August, when persistent cloud cover and light winds limit radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context but have limited influence on the two-day horizon. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25°C because current model consensus shows little deviation from these baselines, with only modest uncertainty from potential convective timing or localized urban effects that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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