Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 4 maximum near 28–31 °C, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer heating under a building high-pressure ridge. Easterly flow advects warmer continental air while subsidence suppresses cloud cover, yet scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks if instability develops; historical analogs show similar setups yielding 1–2 °C variability depending on exact timing of any showers. Traders weigh these model divergences against KNMI’s next updated guidance and satellite-derived soil moisture trends that influence local sensible-heat flux.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 4 août ?
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C ou moins 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
28°C ou moins
20%
29°C
24%
30°C
28%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C ou moins 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
28°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
20%
29°C
$2 Vol.
24%
30°C
$2 Vol.
28%
31°C
$12 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 4 maximum near 28–31 °C, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer heating under a building high-pressure ridge. Easterly flow advects warmer continental air while subsidence suppresses cloud cover, yet scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks if instability develops; historical analogs show similar setups yielding 1–2 °C variability depending on exact timing of any showers. Traders weigh these model divergences against KNMI’s next updated guidance and satellite-derived soil moisture trends that influence local sensible-heat flux.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$123Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 4 maximum near 28–31 °C, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer heating under a building high-pressure ridge. Easterly flow advects warmer continental air while subsidence suppresses cloud cover, yet scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks if instability develops; historical analogs show similar setups yielding 1–2 °C variability depending on exact timing of any showers. Traders weigh these model divergences against KNMI’s next updated guidance and satellite-derived soil moisture trends that influence local sensible-heat flux.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 4 maximum near 28–31 °C, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer heating under a building high-pressure ridge. Easterly flow advects warmer continental air while subsidence suppresses cloud cover, yet scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks if instability develops; historical analogs show similar setups yielding 1–2 °C variability depending on exact timing of any showers. Traders weigh these model divergences against KNMI’s next updated guidance and satellite-derived soil moisture trends that influence local sensible-heat flux.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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