**Current short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show Helsinki’s August 4 maximum temperature most likely falling between 19–23 °C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities peaking at 22 °C (28.5 %), 21 °C (23.5 %), and 23 °C (20.5 %).** These values sit slightly above the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 19–20 °C for the Finnish capital. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of any weak high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region, cloud-cover evolution that modulates daytime solar heating, and the moderating influence of relatively warm Baltic Sea surface temperatures. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighing the latest model runs and observed trends in 500 hPa heights, while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±2–3 °C at this lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 4 août ?
22°C 36%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
36%
23°C
22%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C ou plus
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$19 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
36%
23°C
$6 Vol.
22%
24°C
$68 Vol.
7%
25°C
$15 Vol.
2%
26°C
$31 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show Helsinki’s August 4 maximum temperature most likely falling between 19–23 °C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities peaking at 22 °C (28.5 %), 21 °C (23.5 %), and 23 °C (20.5 %).** These values sit slightly above the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 19–20 °C for the Finnish capital. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of any weak high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region, cloud-cover evolution that modulates daytime solar heating, and the moderating influence of relatively warm Baltic Sea surface temperatures. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighing the latest model runs and observed trends in 500 hPa heights, while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±2–3 °C at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$149Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show Helsinki’s August 4 maximum temperature most likely falling between 19–23 °C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities peaking at 22 °C (28.5 %), 21 °C (23.5 %), and 23 °C (20.5 %).** These values sit slightly above the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 19–20 °C for the Finnish capital. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of any weak high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region, cloud-cover evolution that modulates daytime solar heating, and the moderating influence of relatively warm Baltic Sea surface temperatures. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighing the latest model runs and observed trends in 500 hPa heights, while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±2–3 °C at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show Helsinki’s August 4 maximum temperature most likely falling between 19–23 °C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities peaking at 22 °C (28.5 %), 21 °C (23.5 %), and 23 °C (20.5 %).** These values sit slightly above the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 19–20 °C for the Finnish capital. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of any weak high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region, cloud-cover evolution that modulates daytime solar heating, and the moderating influence of relatively warm Baltic Sea surface temperatures. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighing the latest model runs and observed trends in 500 hPa heights, while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±2–3 °C at this lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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