Current short-range forecasts from global and regional models point to a moderating maritime influence keeping Qingdao's August 4 high near 30–32°C, consistent with typical early-August climatology and sea-breeze effects along the Yellow Sea coast. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads and local model runs still allow for brief warmer pockets under variable cloud cover or reduced onshore flow, while historical August maxima rarely exceed 35°C. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined high-resolution guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 4 août ?
34°C 35%
36°C ou plus 32%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
20%
34°C
35%
35°C
25%
36°C ou plus
32%
34°C 35%
36°C ou plus 32%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$20 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$24 Vol.
35%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C ou plus
$6 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from global and regional models point to a moderating maritime influence keeping Qingdao's August 4 high near 30–32°C, consistent with typical early-August climatology and sea-breeze effects along the Yellow Sea coast. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads and local model runs still allow for brief warmer pockets under variable cloud cover or reduced onshore flow, while historical August maxima rarely exceed 35°C. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined high-resolution guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$90Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from global and regional models point to a moderating maritime influence keeping Qingdao's August 4 high near 30–32°C, consistent with typical early-August climatology and sea-breeze effects along the Yellow Sea coast. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads and local model runs still allow for brief warmer pockets under variable cloud cover or reduced onshore flow, while historical August maxima rarely exceed 35°C. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined high-resolution guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from global and regional models point to a moderating maritime influence keeping Qingdao's August 4 high near 30–32°C, consistent with typical early-August climatology and sea-breeze effects along the Yellow Sea coast. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads and local model runs still allow for brief warmer pockets under variable cloud cover or reduced onshore flow, while historical August maxima rarely exceed 35°C. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined high-resolution guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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