Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and modest support for 23°C or 21°C, while colder outcomes remain less favored given the absence of significant frontal passages or radiational cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, but current seasonal warmth—following June’s record heat—has elevated baseline temperatures, with latest runs indicating limited overnight drop. Key upcoming updates from Météo-France and ECMWF model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 4 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 4 août ?
20°C ou moins 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 19%
23°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
20°C ou moins
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
36%
23°C
12%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
20°C ou moins 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 19%
23°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$88 Vol.
40%
21°C
$37 Vol.
26%
22°C
$40 Vol.
36%
23°C
$103 Vol.
12%
24°C
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$36 Vol.
2%
26°C
$43 Vol.
1%
27°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and modest support for 23°C or 21°C, while colder outcomes remain less favored given the absence of significant frontal passages or radiational cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, but current seasonal warmth—following June’s record heat—has elevated baseline temperatures, with latest runs indicating limited overnight drop. Key upcoming updates from Météo-France and ECMWF model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$544Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and modest support for 23°C or 21°C, while colder outcomes remain less favored given the absence of significant frontal passages or radiational cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, but current seasonal warmth—following June’s record heat—has elevated baseline temperatures, with latest runs indicating limited overnight drop. Key upcoming updates from Météo-France and ECMWF model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$544Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and modest support for 23°C or 21°C, while colder outcomes remain less favored given the absence of significant frontal passages or radiational cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, but current seasonal warmth—following June’s record heat—has elevated baseline temperatures, with latest runs indicating limited overnight drop. Key upcoming updates from Météo-France and ECMWF model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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