Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 4 août ?
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
21%
33°C
35%
34°C
25%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C ou plus
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
28°C ou moins
$54 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$60 Vol.
1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
5%
31°C
$78 Vol.
10%
32°C
$16 Vol.
21%
33°C
$132 Vol.
35%
34°C
$33 Vol.
25%
35°C
$485 Vol.
9%
36°C
$124 Vol.
4%
37°C
$193 Vol.
2%
38°C ou plus
$33 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,240Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,240Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Beijing's August 4 maximum near 31–33 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity expected to moderate peak heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader consensus around 33 °C (34.5 %) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact convective timing and coverage that could either suppress or allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 30–32 °C, providing context for why outcomes below 30 °C or above 35 °C remain low-probability outliers unless steering patterns shift markedly before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes