Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 4 août ?
34°C ou moins 33%
36°C 29%
35°C 29%
37°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
34°C ou moins
33%
35°C
29%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou plus
<1%
34°C ou moins 33%
36°C 29%
35°C 29%
37°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
34°C ou moins
$307 Vol.
33%
35°C
$233 Vol.
29%
36°C
$317 Vol.
31%
37°C
$179 Vol.
5%
38°C
$267 Vol.
3%
39°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$103 Vol.
1%
41°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
44°C ou plus
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,163Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,163Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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