Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 3 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, with strong subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat island effects amplifying maxima by 1–2°C, and slight differences in 850-hPa thermal advection, producing the tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for northern Italy shows typical highs near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects an above-average ridge that traders are weighting heavily while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler or warmer edges given model uncertainty at this 48-hour lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 3 août ?
35°C 38%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
33°C or below
16%
34°C
28%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
33°C or below
$440 Vol.
16%
34°C
$108 Vol.
28%
35°C
$153 Vol.
38%
36°C
$93 Vol.
22%
37°C
$87 Vol.
3%
38°C
$31 Vol.
2%
39°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 3 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, with strong subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat island effects amplifying maxima by 1–2°C, and slight differences in 850-hPa thermal advection, producing the tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for northern Italy shows typical highs near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects an above-average ridge that traders are weighting heavily while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler or warmer edges given model uncertainty at this 48-hour lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,274Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 3 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, with strong subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat island effects amplifying maxima by 1–2°C, and slight differences in 850-hPa thermal advection, producing the tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for northern Italy shows typical highs near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects an above-average ridge that traders are weighting heavily while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler or warmer edges given model uncertainty at this 48-hour lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,274Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 3 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, with strong subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat island effects amplifying maxima by 1–2°C, and slight differences in 850-hPa thermal advection, producing the tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for northern Italy shows typical highs near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects an above-average ridge that traders are weighting heavily while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler or warmer edges given model uncertainty at this 48-hour lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes