Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 5 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 5 août ?
26°C 40%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
21°C ou moins
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
15%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$10 Vol.
40%
27°C
$5 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$40 Vol.
15%
30°C
$22 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$195Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$195Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes