Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a cooling trend across southern England following early August warmth, with London overnight minima expected near seasonal averages of 13–15°C amid light winds and clearing skies. This positions 14°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting stable high-pressure influences that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops below 13°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread for August 7, with any brief cloud cover or residual moisture likely moderating the low rather than enhancing it. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range of early-August minima against limited forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 7 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 7 août ?
14°C 30%
15°C 26%
13°C 23%
16°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
10°C ou moins
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
8%
13°C
23%
14°C
30%
15°C
26%
16°C
13%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
1%
14°C 30%
15°C 26%
13°C 23%
16°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
10°C ou moins
$11 Vol.
2%
11°C
$5 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$180 Vol.
23%
14°C
$583 Vol.
30%
15°C
$169 Vol.
26%
16°C
$48 Vol.
13%
17°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a cooling trend across southern England following early August warmth, with London overnight minima expected near seasonal averages of 13–15°C amid light winds and clearing skies. This positions 14°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting stable high-pressure influences that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops below 13°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread for August 7, with any brief cloud cover or residual moisture likely moderating the low rather than enhancing it. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range of early-August minima against limited forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,244Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a cooling trend across southern England following early August warmth, with London overnight minima expected near seasonal averages of 13–15°C amid light winds and clearing skies. This positions 14°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting stable high-pressure influences that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops below 13°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread for August 7, with any brief cloud cover or residual moisture likely moderating the low rather than enhancing it. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range of early-August minima against limited forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,244Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a cooling trend across southern England following early August warmth, with London overnight minima expected near seasonal averages of 13–15°C amid light winds and clearing skies. This positions 14°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting stable high-pressure influences that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops below 13°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread for August 7, with any brief cloud cover or residual moisture likely moderating the low rather than enhancing it. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range of early-August minima against limited forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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