Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 6 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 6 août ?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 Vol.
$17,009 Vol.
6 août 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 Vol.
$17,009 Vol.
6 août 2026
10°C or below
$816 Vol.
No
11°C
$448 Vol.
No
12°C
$735 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,403 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,476 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,810 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$1,336 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,449 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,324 Vol.
No
19°C
$822 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$388 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,009Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,009Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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