**Forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 34°C for Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly winds and typical summer humidity around 60-80%.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C (combined ~95% implied probability), as ensemble model guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows a baseline of 32–34°C that can readily reach 35°C due to variable cloud cover, urban heat effects, and minor sea-breeze modulation along the Yellow Sea coast. Climatological context places early-August averages near 29–31°C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal, supporting upside potential without extreme heat. Key variables traders weigh include the timing of any clearing skies (which could add 1–2°C) versus increased cloudiness or light rain (which caps the peak), plus precise measurement at official stations. With resolution imminent, the distribution reflects real-time uncertainty in final observational data rather than dramatic shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 8 août ?
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
34°C 24%
33°C 5.7%
$28,076 Vol.
$28,076 Vol.
31°C ou moins
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
34°C 24%
33°C 5.7%
$28,076 Vol.
$28,076 Vol.
31°C ou moins
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C ou plus
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from sources like Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 34°C for Qingdao on August 8, 2026, under cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly winds and typical summer humidity around 60-80%.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C (combined ~95% implied probability), as ensemble model guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows a baseline of 32–34°C that can readily reach 35°C due to variable cloud cover, urban heat effects, and minor sea-breeze modulation along the Yellow Sea coast. Climatological context places early-August averages near 29–31°C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal, supporting upside potential without extreme heat. Key variables traders weigh include the timing of any clearing skies (which could add 1–2°C) versus increased cloudiness or light rain (which caps the peak), plus precise measurement at official stations. With resolution imminent, the distribution reflects real-time uncertainty in final observational data rather than dramatic shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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