**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.** Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 7 août ?
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 17%
36°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
31%
34°C
35%
35°C
17%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 17%
36°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
29°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$155 Vol.
1%
31°C
$249 Vol.
3%
32°C
$247 Vol.
9%
33°C
$560 Vol.
31%
34°C
$337 Vol.
35%
35°C
$649 Vol.
17%
36°C
$367 Vol.
10%
37°C
$466 Vol.
3%
38°C
$139 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.**
Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,334Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.**
Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,334Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.** Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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