Recent MetService forecasts position a 9°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 5, citing a few showers amid a cold southerly flow and frosty overnight conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader consensus around 9–10°C, reflecting typical winter variability where wind and cloud cover can suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 13°C. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could push readings to 8°C or 10°C. Updated official briefings and observational data ahead of the date remain the key inputs likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 5 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 5 août ?
9°C 51%
10°C 28%
8°C 24%
7°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
8%
8°C
24%
9°C
51%
10°C
28%
11°C
3%
12°C
1%
13°C or higher
2%
9°C 51%
10°C 28%
8°C 24%
7°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
3°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$22 Vol.
1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
8%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$30 Vol.
51%
10°C
$26 Vol.
28%
11°C
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$10 Vol.
1%
13°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts position a 9°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 5, citing a few showers amid a cold southerly flow and frosty overnight conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader consensus around 9–10°C, reflecting typical winter variability where wind and cloud cover can suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 13°C. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could push readings to 8°C or 10°C. Updated official briefings and observational data ahead of the date remain the key inputs likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$157Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts position a 9°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 5, citing a few showers amid a cold southerly flow and frosty overnight conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader consensus around 9–10°C, reflecting typical winter variability where wind and cloud cover can suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 13°C. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could push readings to 8°C or 10°C. Updated official briefings and observational data ahead of the date remain the key inputs likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$157Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts position a 9°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 5, citing a few showers amid a cold southerly flow and frosty overnight conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader consensus around 9–10°C, reflecting typical winter variability where wind and cloud cover can suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 13°C. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could push readings to 8°C or 10°C. Updated official briefings and observational data ahead of the date remain the key inputs likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes