Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 août ?
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$17,593 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,593 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
28%
35°C
39%
36°C
20%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$17,593 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,593 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
$1,001 Vol.
1%
32°C
$947 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1,970 Vol.
7%
34°C
$2,128 Vol.
28%
35°C
$804 Vol.
39%
36°C
$3,745 Vol.
20%
37°C
$4,104 Vol.
6%
38°C
$1,158 Vol.
2%
39°C
$771 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,593Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,593Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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