**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty driven by an approaching weather system, possibly linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s uncertain track.** Official guidance and extended models show overnight lows clustered around 25–27°C (78–81°F), with heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and stronger winds expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to typical August conditions (historical averages near 25–26°C). The narrow spread between the leading 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (38.0%) outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing, rainfall totals, and boundary-layer mixing, while the 26°C share (14%) accounts for scenarios with greater cooling from sustained precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 9 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 9 août ?
27°C 44%
28°C 37%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
44%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
1%
27°C 44%
28°C 37%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$22 Vol.
1%
23°C
$12 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
15%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$30 Vol.
1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty driven by an approaching weather system, possibly linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s uncertain track.** Official guidance and extended models show overnight lows clustered around 25–27°C (78–81°F), with heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and stronger winds expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to typical August conditions (historical averages near 25–26°C). The narrow spread between the leading 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (38.0%) outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing, rainfall totals, and boundary-layer mixing, while the 26°C share (14%) accounts for scenarios with greater cooling from sustained precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$103Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty driven by an approaching weather system, possibly linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s uncertain track.** Official guidance and extended models show overnight lows clustered around 25–27°C (78–81°F), with heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and stronger winds expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to typical August conditions (historical averages near 25–26°C). The narrow spread between the leading 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (38.0%) outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing, rainfall totals, and boundary-layer mixing, while the 26°C share (14%) accounts for scenarios with greater cooling from sustained precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$103Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty driven by an approaching weather system, possibly linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s uncertain track.** Official guidance and extended models show overnight lows clustered around 25–27°C (78–81°F), with heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and stronger winds expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to typical August conditions (historical averages near 25–26°C). The narrow spread between the leading 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (38.0%) outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing, rainfall totals, and boundary-layer mixing, while the 26°C share (14%) accounts for scenarios with greater cooling from sustained precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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