Current forecasts from regional models and meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under the influence of a strong subtropical high, reduced cloud cover, and typical August urban heat effects, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Average August highs range 33–35°C, but subsidence and clear intervals often allow peaks of 37–39°C, as seen in recent station data and extended guidance. Scattered showers or typhoon remnants could moderate temperatures toward 37°C (23.5% implied), while stronger high pressure supports the 16.5% chance of 39°C. Updated CMA forecasts and real-time observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 9 août ?
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$16,233 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,233 Vol.
9 août 2026
31°C ou moins
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
24%
38°C
55%
39°C
17%
40°C
5%
41°C ou plus
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$16,233 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,233 Vol.
9 août 2026
31°C ou moins
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,163 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,187 Vol.
4%
37°C
$1,461 Vol.
24%
38°C
$3,738 Vol.
55%
39°C
$1,549 Vol.
17%
40°C
$1,582 Vol.
5%
41°C ou plus
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under the influence of a strong subtropical high, reduced cloud cover, and typical August urban heat effects, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Average August highs range 33–35°C, but subsidence and clear intervals often allow peaks of 37–39°C, as seen in recent station data and extended guidance. Scattered showers or typhoon remnants could moderate temperatures toward 37°C (23.5% implied), while stronger high pressure supports the 16.5% chance of 39°C. Updated CMA forecasts and real-time observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$16,233Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under the influence of a strong subtropical high, reduced cloud cover, and typical August urban heat effects, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Average August highs range 33–35°C, but subsidence and clear intervals often allow peaks of 37–39°C, as seen in recent station data and extended guidance. Scattered showers or typhoon remnants could moderate temperatures toward 37°C (23.5% implied), while stronger high pressure supports the 16.5% chance of 39°C. Updated CMA forecasts and real-time observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,233Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under the influence of a strong subtropical high, reduced cloud cover, and typical August urban heat effects, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Average August highs range 33–35°C, but subsidence and clear intervals often allow peaks of 37–39°C, as seen in recent station data and extended guidance. Scattered showers or typhoon remnants could moderate temperatures toward 37°C (23.5% implied), while stronger high pressure supports the 16.5% chance of 39°C. Updated CMA forecasts and real-time observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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