Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 8 near 32–33 °C, producing the tight 44.5 %–39.5 % split between those two outcomes. High boundary-layer humidity and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon create the decisive margin: modest increases in afternoon convection or thicker stratiform clouds can shave 1 °C from peak readings, while clearer skies under the subtropical ridge allow full insolation to push values to 33 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this narrow range, and historical August maxima centered near 32 °C underscore why traders see little probability mass outside these adjacent bins ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 8 août ?
32°C 45%
33°C 41%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$25,669 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,669 Vol.
8 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
45%
33°C
41%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 41%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$25,669 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,669 Vol.
8 août 2026
27°C or below
$1,813 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,810 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,247 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,895 Vol.
3%
31°C
$3,775 Vol.
7%
32°C
$2,711 Vol.
45%
33°C
$3,610 Vol.
41%
34°C
$3,934 Vol.
9%
35°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$625 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 8 near 32–33 °C, producing the tight 44.5 %–39.5 % split between those two outcomes. High boundary-layer humidity and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon create the decisive margin: modest increases in afternoon convection or thicker stratiform clouds can shave 1 °C from peak readings, while clearer skies under the subtropical ridge allow full insolation to push values to 33 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this narrow range, and historical August maxima centered near 32 °C underscore why traders see little probability mass outside these adjacent bins ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$25,669Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 8 near 32–33 °C, producing the tight 44.5 %–39.5 % split between those two outcomes. High boundary-layer humidity and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon create the decisive margin: modest increases in afternoon convection or thicker stratiform clouds can shave 1 °C from peak readings, while clearer skies under the subtropical ridge allow full insolation to push values to 33 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this narrow range, and historical August maxima centered near 32 °C underscore why traders see little probability mass outside these adjacent bins ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,669Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 8 near 32–33 °C, producing the tight 44.5 %–39.5 % split between those two outcomes. High boundary-layer humidity and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon create the decisive margin: modest increases in afternoon convection or thicker stratiform clouds can shave 1 °C from peak readings, while clearer skies under the subtropical ridge allow full insolation to push values to 33 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this narrow range, and historical August maxima centered near 32 °C underscore why traders see little probability mass outside these adjacent bins ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes