Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 10 août ?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$71 Vol.
1%
24°C
$28 Vol.
1%
25°C
$22 Vol.
3%
26°C
$9 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
32%
28°C
$7 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$157Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$157Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes