Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources point to a high near 31°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air masses and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the typical post-Liqiu cooling trend, as early-August averages near 32–34°C give way to seasonal moderation. Ensemble models show modest spread around 30–33°C depending on exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer moisture, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 31°C and 33°C with no outcome exceeding 33%. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details and could shift the distribution if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 8 août ?
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C ou plus
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$67 Vol.
1%
27°C
$24 Vol.
1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$18 Vol.
3%
30°C
$139 Vol.
11%
31°C
$27 Vol.
26%
32°C
$14 Vol.
33%
33°C
$59 Vol.
16%
34°C
$31 Vol.
6%
35°C
$22 Vol.
4%
36°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources point to a high near 31°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air masses and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the typical post-Liqiu cooling trend, as early-August averages near 32–34°C give way to seasonal moderation. Ensemble models show modest spread around 30–33°C depending on exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer moisture, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 31°C and 33°C with no outcome exceeding 33%. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details and could shift the distribution if steering patterns or convective activity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$449Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources point to a high near 31°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air masses and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the typical post-Liqiu cooling trend, as early-August averages near 32–34°C give way to seasonal moderation. Ensemble models show modest spread around 30–33°C depending on exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer moisture, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 31°C and 33°C with no outcome exceeding 33%. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details and could shift the distribution if steering patterns or convective activity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$449Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources point to a high near 31°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air masses and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the typical post-Liqiu cooling trend, as early-August averages near 32–34°C give way to seasonal moderation. Ensemble models show modest spread around 30–33°C depending on exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer moisture, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 31°C and 33°C with no outcome exceeding 33%. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details and could shift the distribution if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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