Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 6 août ?
35°C 47%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
37°C or higher 7.0%
$24,542 Vol.
$24,542 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
25%
35°C
47%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
35°C 47%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
37°C or higher 7.0%
$24,542 Vol.
$24,542 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
25%
35°C
47%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes