Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 6 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Taipei le 6 août ?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,528 Vol.
$73,528 Vol.
6 août 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,528 Vol.
$73,528 Vol.
6 août 2026
28°C or below
$469 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,381 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,002 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,124 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,268 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,161 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,328 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,595 Vol.
No
36°C
$10,140 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$7,678 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$6,382 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$73,528Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,528Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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